Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Turris wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.8% vs Backlund 48.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 50.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 66.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Turris
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Turris
Backlund
Last 10: Turris 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
0
Turris
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
7
Turris
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (942)
47.3% (1,070)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.9% (226)
62.1% (140)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (57)
43.9% (269)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Turris shoots right. Backlund is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Turris
Backlund
Home
56.3% (627)
49.1% (768)
Away
49.7% (598)
47.0% (711)
By Period
Turris
Backlund
P1
50.4%
46.8%
P2
53.9%
47.5%
P3
54.9%
49.3%
OT
53.8%
59.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | OT | 04:09 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |