Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 46.9% vs Lorentz 47.6% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 58.3%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 54.6%
Neutral zone
Pederson 53.7%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Pederson
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (92)
46.5% (101)
-4.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
33.3% (3)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.5% (8)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Pederson has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Pederson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Pederson shoots right. Lorentz is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Pederson
Lorentz
Home
45.7% (46)
49.1% (53)
Away
42.0% (50)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Pederson
Lorentz
P1
46.2%
48.6%
P2
36.8%
36.7%
P3
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
42.1%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%