Scouting Report
Lane Pederson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pederson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pederson wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.8% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 60.4%
Defensive zone
Pederson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Pederson 62.6%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Pederson
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pederson
Lorentz
Last 6: Pederson 5-1 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pederson
3
0
Pederson
Lorentz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pederson
2
1
Pederson
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (134)
48.3% (497)
+3.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
63.6% (11)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
38.5% (39)
+4.4%
On power play, Lorentz has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Pederson is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Pederson shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Pederson
Lorentz
Home
59.6% (52)
50.4% (238)
Away
46.9% (98)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Pederson
Lorentz
P1
55.8%
49.1%
P2
44.9%
48.0%
P3
53.1%
47.2%
Final 5 min
56.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |