Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 46.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Pederson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 62.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Pederson
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (92)
51.6% (1,084)
-9.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.0% (246)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.1% (136)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Pederson has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pederson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Pederson shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Pederson
Hertl
Home
45.7% (46)
55.2% (696)
Away
42.0% (50)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Pederson
Hertl
P1
46.2%
55.4%
P2
36.8%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
42.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%