Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Pederson wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.2%
Defensive zone
Pederson 66.7%
Neutral zone
Pederson 58.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Pederson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pederson
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Pederson
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (134)
54.1% (1,117)
-1.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
59.8% (296)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
34.4% (32)
+8.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pederson is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Pederson shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Pederson
Hertl
Home
59.6% (52)
54.3% (709)
Away
46.9% (98)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Pederson
Hertl
P1
55.8%
51.6%
P2
44.9%
53.6%
P3
53.1%
58.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |