Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Eller 49.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 69.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 55.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 58.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Cirelli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cirelli
Eller
Last 8: Cirelli 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Cirelli
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Cirelli
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
51.1% (786)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
45.0% (80)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
43.6% (165)
-6.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Eller
Home
46.7% (478)
51.2% (510)
Away
46.4% (470)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Cirelli
Eller
P1
46.6%
50.7%
P2
48.6%
49.0%
P3
44.3%
48.3%
OT
44.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |