Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Eller 47.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 62.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Jarnkrok
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jarnkrok
Eller
Last 5: Jarnkrok 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Jarnkrok
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Jarnkrok
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
48.9% (701)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
62.5% (8)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (144)
39.1% (174)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jarnkrok is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Eller is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Eller
Home
52.4% (489)
47.5% (421)
Away
46.0% (426)
46.8% (462)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Eller
P1
51.9%
47.8%
P2
50.3%
47.3%
P3
46.4%
46.1%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |