Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Eller 53.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 62.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 64.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Ryan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Ryan
Eller
Last 5: Ryan 0-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
5
Ryan
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
53.8% (865)
-2.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.1% (21)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
52.6% (137)
-7.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Ryan
Eller
Home
53.7% (214)
56.4% (486)
Away
46.4% (220)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Ryan
Eller
P1
45.0%
55.1%
P2
50.0%
55.3%
P3
54.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |