Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Eller 52.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 82.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 52.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 69.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Brassard
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Eller
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Brassard
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Brassard
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
53.3% (803)
-7.1%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
55.8% (86)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (90)
+0.0%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Brassard is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Brassard shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Brassard
Eller
Home
47.5% (459)
52.8% (525)
Away
48.5% (518)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Brassard
Eller
P1
48.0%
53.9%
P2
50.1%
54.8%
P3
44.9%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |