Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.8% vs Eller 49.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 52.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Staal
Eller
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
6
Staal
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (804)
49.5% (457)
+2.9%
Power Play
53.5% (157)
57.7% (26)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (53)
44.1% (59)
-2.6%
On power play, Eller has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
52.7% (490)
51.0% (259)
Away
51.3% (524)
47.7% (283)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
56.4%
45.7%
P2
52.4%
44.3%
P3
47.4%
56.7%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |