Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Eller 52.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 70.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Carter
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Carter
Eller
Last 5: Carter 0-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Carter
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Carter
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
53.3% (803)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
55.8% (86)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
50.0% (90)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Carter shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Carter
Eller
Home
53.6% (330)
52.8% (525)
Away
50.6% (314)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Carter
Eller
P1
50.0%
53.9%
P2
55.6%
54.8%
P3
50.3%
50.9%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |