Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.0% vs Eller 50.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Carter
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Carter
Eller
Last 8: Carter 4-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Carter
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (242)
49.4% (518)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
57.6% (33)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (50)
52.8% (108)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Carter shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Carter
Eller
Home
48.6% (173)
49.0% (304)
Away
48.9% (141)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Carter
Eller
P1
52.1%
55.5%
P2
47.8%
44.0%
P3
46.6%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |