Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Eller 50.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 90.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Toews
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Eller
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
52.9% (306)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
40.5% (37)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
45.5% (66)
+8.2%
On power play, Toews has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toews is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Toews shoots left. Eller is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Toews
Eller
Home
59.8% (805)
49.7% (181)
Away
57.3% (768)
51.3% (228)
By Period
Toews
Eller
P1
60.2%
54.2%
P2
60.7%
46.5%
P3
55.9%
49.6%
OT
44.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |