Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Eller 55.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 65.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 63.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Stenlund
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Stenlund
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (605)
56.5% (434)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
77.8% (9)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (305)
56.5% (46)
-4.7%
On power play, Eller has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Stenlund is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Stenlund shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Eller
Home
57.0% (446)
53.1% (211)
Away
52.6% (511)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Stenlund
Eller
P1
55.4%
55.4%
P2
53.2%
58.1%
P3
56.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |