Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Eller 52.0% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 50.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 90.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
MacLean
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacLean
Eller
Last 6: MacLean 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
1
MacLean
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
0
MacLean
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
52.8% (742)
-10.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
67.6% (34)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.2% (156)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
MacLean shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
MacLean
Eller
Home
41.4% (128)
54.5% (448)
Away
43.7% (119)
50.2% (484)
By Period
MacLean
Eller
P1
49.3%
52.8%
P2
41.6%
50.9%
P3
37.6%
53.4%
Final 5 min
41.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |