Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 78.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 96.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 92.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Eller
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Eller
Carlsson
Last 9: Eller 7-2 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Carlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
34.4% (535)
+18.4%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
42.9% (21)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
40.0% (5)
+6.2%
On power play, Eller has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Eller
Carlsson
Home
54.5% (448)
38.6% (254)
Away
50.2% (484)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Eller
Carlsson
P1
52.8%
35.9%
P2
50.9%
33.8%
P3
53.4%
34.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |