Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Eller
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Eller
Carlsson
Last 8: Eller 4-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Eller
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
41.8% (648)
+11.0%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
37.3% (51)
+31.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
38.7% (31)
+6.8%
On power play, Eller has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Eller
Carlsson
Home
52.6% (340)
44.5% (362)
Away
51.8% (411)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Eller
Carlsson
P1
52.4%
46.3%
P2
54.1%
35.1%
P3
50.0%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |