Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Rossi 50.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 72.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Eller
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Eller
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
52.8% (400)
+3.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
36.1% (36)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
37.0% (27)
+19.5%
On power play, Eller has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Eller
Rossi
Home
53.1% (211)
50.0% (242)
Away
59.7% (278)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Eller
Rossi
P1
55.4%
54.9%
P2
58.1%
48.7%
P3
57.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
60.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |