Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Rossi 47.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 60.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Eller
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Eller
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
46.5% (879)
+6.3%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
48.6% (105)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
50.0% (8)
-4.5%
On power play, Eller has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Eller
Rossi
Home
52.6% (340)
47.5% (520)
Away
51.8% (411)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Eller
Rossi
P1
52.4%
47.8%
P2
54.1%
44.2%
P3
50.0%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |