Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Rossi 46.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 54.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Eller
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Eller
Rossi
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Eller
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Rossi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
47.0% (2,140)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
47.3% (188)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
34.1% (44)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Eller
Rossi
Home
51.4% (6,118)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Eller
Rossi
P1
51.2%
47.3%
P2
50.1%
44.8%
P3
50.2%
48.3%
OT
56.7%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OT | 01:44 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |