Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Jankowski 53.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 68.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Eller
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Eller
Jankowski
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Eller
Jankowski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
54.1% (527)
+2.4%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (14)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
57.5% (40)
-1.0%
On power play, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Eller
Jankowski
Home
53.1% (211)
53.9% (310)
Away
59.7% (278)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Eller
Jankowski
P1
55.4%
54.6%
P2
58.1%
56.3%
P3
57.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
60.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |