Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.4%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 27-26 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 51.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Eller
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
27
(53 meetings)
26
27
Eller
Jankowski
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
7
9
Eller
Jankowski
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
9
11
Eller
Jankowski
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
10
7
Eller
Jankowski
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.5% (3,462)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
53.7% (95)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
42.8% (528)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Eller
Jankowski
Home
51.4% (6,118)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Eller
Jankowski
P1
51.2%
50.0%
P2
50.1%
51.2%
P3
50.2%
50.2%
OT
56.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |