Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 50.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 51.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Eller
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Eller
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
51.3% (347)
+1.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
72.7% (11)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
44.0% (75)
+1.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Eller
Jankowski
Home
52.6% (340)
46.8% (188)
Away
51.8% (411)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Eller
Jankowski
P1
52.4%
51.6%
P2
54.1%
49.3%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |