Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Jankowski 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Eller
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Eller
Jankowski
Last 6: Eller 1-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Eller
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Eller
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
49.5% (746)
+0.6%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
53.1% (32)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
28.1% (32)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Eller shoots left. Jankowski is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Eller
Jankowski
Home
51.4% (465)
50.4% (399)
Away
47.3% (491)
47.2% (411)
By Period
Eller
Jankowski
P1
47.9%
49.4%
P2
51.6%
48.7%
P3
47.7%
48.7%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |