Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Jankowski 45.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 74.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Eller
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eller
Jankowski
Last 8: Eller 5-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
46.7% (349)
+6.1%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
50.0% (6)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
34.3% (70)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Eller shoots left. Jankowski is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Eller
Jankowski
Home
51.3% (513)
47.0% (183)
Away
52.5% (520)
43.0% (242)
By Period
Eller
Jankowski
P1
50.3%
44.5%
P2
52.8%
42.9%
P3
51.4%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |