Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.3% vs Jankowski 47.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 75.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 56.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Eller
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Eller
Jankowski
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
4
Eller
Jankowski
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (518)
49.0% (251)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.6% (33)
28.6% (7)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
40.0% (65)
+12.8%
On power play, Eller has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Eller is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Eller shoots left. Jankowski is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Eller
Jankowski
Home
49.0% (304)
50.0% (172)
Away
51.5% (355)
43.0% (151)
By Period
Eller
Jankowski
P1
55.5%
42.5%
P2
44.0%
49.1%
P3
53.2%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |