Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 63.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Eller
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
56.5% (115)
-5.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
100.0% (3)
-55.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
100.0% (2)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Eller
Kastelic
Home
51.2% (510)
54.8% (73)
Away
47.8% (521)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Eller
Kastelic
P1
50.7%
50.0%
P2
49.0%
62.5%
P3
48.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |