Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Necas 40.8% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 76.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.8%
Neutral zone
Necas 51.9%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Eller
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eller
Necas
Last 5: Eller 2-3 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
2
Eller
Necas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Necas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Necas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
33.6% (134)
+19.2%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
50.0% (2)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
50.0% (2)
-3.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Necas is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Eller
Necas
Home
54.5% (448)
28.2% (71)
Away
50.2% (484)
40.3% (67)
By Period
Eller
Necas
P1
52.8%
33.9%
P2
50.9%
36.4%
P3
53.4%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
22.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
34.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Martin Necas |