Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Necas 41.9% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 68.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.1%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Eller
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Eller
Necas
Last 8: Eller 4-4 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
3
Eller
Necas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Necas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Necas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
40.7% (797)
+10.4%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
40.0% (135)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
54.1% (37)
-7.4%
On power play, Eller has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Home / Away
Eller
Necas
Home
51.4% (6,118)
39.2% (492)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
43.0% (477)
By Period
Eller
Necas
P1
51.2%
39.9%
P2
50.1%
40.6%
P3
50.2%
43.3%
OT
56.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |