Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Zibanejad 47.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Eller
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Eller
Zibanejad
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Eller
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
46.7% (285)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
45.6% (57)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
0.0% (1)
+44.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Eller is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Eller shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Eller
Zibanejad
Home
51.0% (259)
45.4% (163)
Away
47.7% (283)
47.2% (180)
By Period
Eller
Zibanejad
P1
45.7%
43.7%
P2
44.3%
48.6%
P3
56.7%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2013 | OT | 01:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2013 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2013 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2013 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |