Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 69.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 72.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 68.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Eller
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Eller
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Eller
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
53.4% (770)
+3.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
46.2% (39)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
44.7% (141)
+11.8%
On power play, Eller has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Eller shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Eller
Zibanejad
Home
53.1% (211)
49.0% (429)
Away
59.7% (278)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Eller
Zibanejad
P1
55.4%
53.0%
P2
58.1%
51.1%
P3
57.1%
51.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |