Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Smith 44.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 90.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 80.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Eller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Smith
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Eller
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
40.2% (112)
+10.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.0% (4)
+2.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Smith is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Eller
Smith
Home
51.4% (6,118)
34.9% (63)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
47.2% (53)
By Period
Eller
Smith
P1
51.2%
36.4%
P2
50.1%
51.4%
P3
50.2%
35.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Smith
42.0%▲
40.5%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Nate Smith |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nate Smith |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |