Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Smith 49.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 62.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Eller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Eller
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
45.0% (20)
+8.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Smith is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Eller
Smith
Home
56.4% (486)
46.7% (15)
Away
51.2% (537)
40.0% (5)
By Period
Eller
Smith
P1
55.1%
62.5%
P2
55.3%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Smith
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Nate Smith |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |