Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Smith 44.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 65.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 89.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 80.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Eller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Smith
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
39.1% (92)
+12.0%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
50.0% (4)
-5.0%
On even strength, Eller has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Smith is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Eller
Smith
Home
51.2% (510)
31.3% (48)
Away
47.8% (521)
47.9% (48)
By Period
Eller
Smith
P1
50.7%
28.0%
P2
49.0%
51.7%
P3
48.3%
38.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Smith
42.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nate Smith |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |