Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Thompson 53.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 72.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 72.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Eller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Thompson
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Eller
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Eller
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
54.5% (628)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
47.4% (19)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
51.3% (113)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Eller shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Eller
Thompson
Home
49.4% (559)
55.6% (329)
Away
48.5% (550)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Eller
Thompson
P1
50.1%
55.3%
P2
46.7%
48.1%
P3
49.9%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |