Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 25-20 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 61.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Eller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
25
(45 meetings)
20
25
Eller
Thompson
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
9
2
Eller
Thompson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
6
13
Eller
Thompson
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
10
Eller
Thompson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
54.8% (135)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
47.9% (1,381)
-1.2%
On even strength, Thompson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Eller
Thompson
Home
51.4% (6,118)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Eller
Thompson
P1
51.2%
53.2%
P2
50.1%
52.9%
P3
50.2%
52.8%
OT
56.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |