Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Thompson 54.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 70.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Eller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eller
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Eller
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
55.5% (236)
-4.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
60.0% (5)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
56.5% (46)
-12.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Eller
Thompson
Home
51.2% (510)
53.1% (128)
Away
47.8% (521)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Eller
Thompson
P1
50.7%
59.0%
P2
49.0%
55.4%
P3
48.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |