Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Kadri 47.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 76.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Eller
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eller
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Eller
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
46.2% (1,005)
+7.6%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
57.3% (199)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
26.7% (30)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Eller
Kadri
Home
56.4% (486)
47.4% (641)
Away
51.2% (537)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Eller
Kadri
P1
55.1%
46.9%
P2
55.3%
49.5%
P3
51.7%
46.2%
OT
27.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |