Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Kadri 47.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Eller
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
47.4% (821)
+9.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
48.8% (86)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
38.5% (13)
+18.0%
On power play, Eller has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Eller
Kadri
Home
53.1% (211)
46.6% (487)
Away
59.7% (278)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Eller
Kadri
P1
55.4%
52.7%
P2
58.1%
50.2%
P3
57.1%
40.2%
Final 5 min
60.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |