Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.3% vs Patrick 52.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 60.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.6%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Eller
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Eller
Patrick
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Eller
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Patrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (518)
51.2% (371)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.6% (33)
62.2% (37)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
59.1% (22)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Eller shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Eller
Patrick
Home
49.0% (304)
48.5% (231)
Away
51.5% (355)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Eller
Patrick
P1
55.5%
52.0%
P2
44.0%
52.3%
P3
53.2%
53.2%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |