Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Patrick 48.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 69.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 50.1%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Eller
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eller
Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Eller
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
47.4% (156)
+3.7%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
56.3% (16)
-11.3%
On power play, Patrick has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Eller
Patrick
Home
51.2% (510)
43.8% (96)
Away
47.8% (521)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Eller
Patrick
P1
50.7%
44.4%
P2
49.0%
45.6%
P3
48.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |