Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.0%). Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Patrick 51.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 62.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Eller
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
20
(38 meetings)
18
20
Eller
Patrick
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
5
8
Eller
Patrick
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Eller
Patrick
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
7
6
Eller
Patrick
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
50.6% (1,978)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
57.5% (120)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
57.7% (26)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Eller
Patrick
Home
51.4% (6,118)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Eller
Patrick
P1
51.2%
52.9%
P2
50.1%
49.1%
P3
50.2%
51.3%
OT
56.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |