Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.4%). Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Danault 54.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 59.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 50.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Eller
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Eller
Danault
Last 8: Eller 4-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Eller
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Eller
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
55.1% (953)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
64.6% (144)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
42.0% (176)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Eller
Danault
Home
56.4% (486)
55.4% (641)
Away
51.2% (537)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Eller
Danault
P1
55.1%
61.0%
P2
55.3%
52.3%
P3
51.7%
51.3%
OT
27.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |