Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.9%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Danault 51.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 66.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 53.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Eller
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eller
Danault
Last 7: Eller 4-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Eller
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
52.6% (895)
+0.2%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
55.7% (97)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
45.5% (165)
+0.7%
On power play, Eller has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Eller
Danault
Home
54.5% (448)
54.0% (581)
Away
50.2% (484)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Eller
Danault
P1
52.8%
53.7%
P2
50.9%
55.3%
P3
53.4%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |