Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Fabbri 47.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 74.2%
Defensive zone
Fabbri 76.5%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 75.3%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Eller
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Eller
Fabbri
Last 6: Eller 0-6 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
1
Eller
Fabbri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
4
Eller
Fabbri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
1
Eller
Fabbri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
44.2% (113)
+8.6%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
55.6% (18)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
44.0% (25)
+1.5%
On power play, Eller has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Fabbri is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Eller
Fabbri
Home
52.6% (340)
49.2% (61)
Away
51.8% (411)
43.2% (95)
By Period
Eller
Fabbri
P1
52.4%
37.7%
P2
54.1%
41.9%
P3
50.0%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |