Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Fabbri 47.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Fabbri leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Fabbri 87.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.3%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 70.3%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Eller
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Eller
Fabbri
Last 10: Eller 1-9 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
4
Eller
Fabbri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
2
4
Eller
Fabbri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
1
2
Eller
Fabbri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
45.4% (531)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
53.0% (168)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
42.9% (28)
+3.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Fabbri is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Eller
Fabbri
Home
51.4% (6,118)
48.6% (368)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
45.4% (359)
By Period
Eller
Fabbri
P1
51.2%
44.1%
P2
50.1%
49.0%
P3
50.2%
48.2%
OT
56.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |