Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs McLeod 47.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 71.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 69.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Eller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Eller
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
49.2% (796)
+7.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
44.8% (87)
+33.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
43.3% (263)
+13.2%
On power play, Eller has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Eller
McLeod
Home
53.1% (211)
49.2% (575)
Away
59.7% (278)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Eller
McLeod
P1
55.4%
52.8%
P2
58.1%
45.1%
P3
57.1%
45.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |