Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs McLeod 48.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 71.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Eller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
McLeod
Last 6: Eller 4-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
49.0% (500)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
43.8% (48)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
44.0% (50)
+8.6%
On power play, Eller has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Eller
McLeod
Home
56.4% (486)
50.9% (291)
Away
51.2% (537)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Eller
McLeod
P1
55.1%
44.3%
P2
55.3%
52.4%
P3
51.7%
47.8%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |