Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 75.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 65.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Eller
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eller
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Eller
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Eller
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
48.0% (275)
+3.1%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
48.1% (52)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
53.1% (32)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Eller
Reinhart
Home
51.2% (510)
49.8% (201)
Away
47.8% (521)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Eller
Reinhart
P1
50.7%
54.8%
P2
49.0%
40.5%
P3
48.3%
50.0%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |