Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Eller
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Reinhart
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
44.6% (345)
+8.2%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
43.3% (97)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
43.2% (88)
+3.0%
On power play, Eller has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Eller
Reinhart
Home
54.5% (448)
47.9% (267)
Away
50.2% (484)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Eller
Reinhart
P1
52.8%
45.6%
P2
50.9%
42.0%
P3
53.4%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 26, 2024 | OT | 02:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |